Sistema de Gobiernos MX

Methodology

How we collect, present, and interpret data.

Purpose

This site presents comparative data about Mexican federal governments from 2000 to the present. The goal is to provide factual, source-backed information that allows citizens to form informed opinions. We do not assign overall grades or declare any government good or bad.

Data sources

All indicators are drawn from official Mexican government institutions (INEGI, CONEVAL, SNSP, IMSS, SHCP, SEP, SSA) and internationally recognized bodies (Transparency International, World Bank). Each data point links to its source. Sources that are placeholders or unverified are clearly marked.

Correlation ≠ Causation

An indicator improving or worsening during a government does not necessarily mean the government caused it. Economic cycles, global crises (e.g., the 2008–2009 recession, COVID-19), commodity prices, and institutional inertia from previous administrations all affect outcomes.

We present changes observed during each period. Attribution requires additional analysis not provided here.

Comparative data

Indicators are compared across administrations on the same scale. When methodologies changed between periods (e.g., CONEVAL's poverty measurement, health coverage definitions), we note the discontinuity. Direct numerical comparisons across different methodologies should be interpreted with caution.

Global context

Some results depend heavily on global conditions. For example, the 2009 GDP contraction during the Calderón administration reflected a global financial crisis, not solely domestic policy. Similarly, AMLO's 2020 contraction was largely driven by COVID-19. We note these contexts in indicator notes.

Current government

Data for the Sheinbaum administration (2024–ongoing) is explicitly marked as incomplete. No comparative assessments are made for ongoing periods. Placeholder data is shown only to indicate what the starting baseline was.

Labeling system

We use the following result labels instead of good/bad:

  • AdvanceA measurable improvement in the indicator during the period.
  • SetbackA measurable deterioration in the indicator during the period.
  • Mixed ResultsSome indicators improved, others deteriorated.
  • NeutralNo significant change observed.
  • Promise FulfilledThe stated commitment was met.
  • Partially FulfilledSome aspects of the commitment were met.
  • Not FulfilledThe stated commitment was not met within the term.

Opinion vs. Fact

All claims are marked as either Fact (verifiable, source-backed) or Opinion (interpretive, analytical, or contested). Opinions are included where relevant context requires it but are always clearly labeled.

Sources can differ

Different methodological approaches can yield different numbers for the same phenomenon. For example, poverty measurements vary by whether they use income-only or multidimensional approaches. We prefer multidimensional CONEVAL measurements for Mexico. Where alternatives exist, we note them.